Storm expected to hit the peninsula; tidal flooding possible around Raymond

Published 6:35 am Tuesday, November 12, 2024

An AR2 atmospheric river is expected along the Northwest coast Tuesday night, Nov. 12. An AR2 storm is wet and windy, but not considered dangerous. The National Weather Service in Portland issued a high-wind warning for Pacific County starting at 8 p.m. Tuesday.

This week’s weather could be exciting for weather geeks like us here at the Observer, who love an old-fashioned blustery storm. It is still a little early to say what will happen, but heavy rainfall and wind are the primary talking points.

The National Weather Service (NWS) is keeping an extra close eye on the mid-week when a storm off the Pacific Ocean is expected to start battering the coastline. The agency has issued a High Wind Warning in effect from 8 p.m. Tuesday, Nov. 12 through 6 a.m. Wednesday, Nov. 13, with wind gusts expected to reach 60 mph.

Rainfall amounts from Tuesday, Nov. 12, through Wednesday, Nov. 13, could hit upwards of 2.8 inches along the coastline over 24 hours.

The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model predicts that winds will peak around 6 a.m. Wednesday, Nov. 13, with the worst of the storm along the Long Beach Peninsula.

The model shows 68 mph gusts hitting the peninsula’s north end and down near Ilwaco.

“As the days have progressed, river flooding concerns have subsided,” NWS Portland Meteorologist Rebecca Muessle said. “For the flashiest rivers there is still elevated attention being paid in case rainfall amounts are higher than expected. There are concerns for tidal overflow and high surf conditions.”

One big worry in the north county region is tidal overflow at Ocean Avenue and US 101 in Raymond, US 101 near Vetters between Raymond and South Bend, and Heckard Road outside of Menlo—all of which are prone to tidal flooding during King tides.

King tides return this week in the mid-mornings and peak over the weekend in the early afternoon. Commuters are cautioned to plan accordingly for the potential of temporary road closures or dangerous driving conditions as the tides peak. Multiple detours are available, which add a few minutes to commutes.

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